PREVIEW MODE
NFL PREDICTION DASHBOARD
Make the number.
Then measure it.
Weekly win probabilities, projected spreads, and projected totals from the current model.
WEEKLY BOARD
Latest projections
Projected home win probability
MODEL REVIEW
What the last board
taught us.
WHAT DRIVES THE NUMBER
Built from what
happened before kickoff.
Elo ratingEPA / playSuccess rateTurnoversPressureRecent form
Pregame efficiency, recent form, sourced player availability, and available forecasts inform the model. Market prices are compared with the resulting predictions.
AVAILABILITY AUDIT
Player status matches
Matches use prior current-season snap participation. An unmatched name receives no availability adjustment. Participation does not measure full health.
Outdoor forecasts: Weather data by Open-Meteo. Forecast temperature and wind feed the model when available; precipitation is recorded for context.
WEEKLY ROUTINE
- 01Refresh NFL data and create pregame features.
- 02Train on completed games available before the selected week.
- 03Publish the new prediction board.